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Indonesia’s Economic Growth by Sector
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Projection
Macro Economic
2023 2024
Indicators FY 2022 FY 2023 FY2024 FY2025 FY2026 FY2027
Q1 (A) Q2 (A) Q3 (P) Q4 (P) Q1 (P) Q2 (P) Q3 (P) Q4 (P)
GDP growth (%) 5.31 5.03 5.17 5.01 5.06 5.07 5.12 5.11 5.07 5.07 5.09 5.12 5.22 5.34
Inflation (% YoY) 5.51 4.97 3.52 2.11 2.89 2.89 3.09 3.26 2.91 3.17 3.17 3.20 3.00 3.00
FX rate (IDR/USD) 15,568 14,995 14,993 15,450 15,335 15,335 15,346 15,231 15,209 15,124 15,124 14,800 14,600 14,400
Interest Rate
- BI 7RR 5.50 5.75 5.75 5.75 5.75 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 5.50 5.50 5.00 4.50 4.00
- Fed Rate 4.50 5.00 5.25 5.50 5.75 5.75 5.75 5.75 5.50 5.25 5.25 4.00 3.00 2.50
Growth (% YoY)
- Credit 11.35 9.93 7.76 8.68 8.63 8.63 8.39 8.42 8.51 8.69 8.69 9.14 9.54 10.00
- Deposits 9.01 7.00 5.79 5.55 5.65 5.65 5.32 5.49 5.63 5.87 5.87 6.76 7.05 9.00
Automotive Sales (Units)
- Motorcycle Sales 5,221,470 1,824,073 1,377,857 1,379,009 1,415,570 5,996,508 1,488,913 1,559,517 1,523,666 1,596,506 6,168,602 6,300,894 6,436,790 6,693,709
Motorcycle Sales (% YoY) 3.2% 14.8% 2.87% 2.14% 2.16% 3.99%
- Car Sales 1,048,040 282,389 223,596 274,283 281,567 1,061,835 267,167 271,463 275,680 279,937 1,084,110 1,146,915 1,184,486 1,222,250
Car Sales (% YoY) 18.1% 1.3% 2.10% 5.79% 3.28% 3.19%
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Interest Rates
- Lending Rate 9.16 9.38 9.35 9.45 9.45 9.45 9.39 9.40 9.32 9.28 9.28 8.60 8.18 7.94
- Working Capital Loan Rate 8.60 8.95 8.93 9.01 9.01 8.99 8.95 8.96 8.89 8.84 8.84 8.19 7.80 7.57
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