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10/17/25, 4:40 PM                                           Fitch Affirms Indonesia's Bank BJB at 'AA-(idn)'; Outlook Stable




 RATING ACTION COMMENTARY

 Fitch Affirms Indonesia's Bank BJB at 'AA-(idn)'; Outlook Stable
 Fri 17 Oct, 2025 - 4:31 AM ET


 Fitch Ratings - Jakarta - 17 Oct 2025: Fitch Ratings Indonesia has affirmed PT Bank
 Pembangunan Daerah Jawa Barat dan Banten Tbk's (BJB) National Long-Term Rating at
 'AA-(idn)'. The Outlook is Stable.


 'AA' National Ratings denote expectations of a very low level of default risk relative to other
 issuers or obligations in the same country or monetary union. The default risk inherent
 differs only slightly from that of the country's highest rated issuers or obligations.

 KEY RATING DRIVERS

 Rating Underpinned by Standalone Credit Profile: BJB's National Long-Term Rating is
 driven by its standalone credit profile and backstopped by our expectation of extraordinary
 state support, if needed. We believe there is a moderate probability of government support
 for BJB in the event of need. BJB is Indonesia's largest regional development bank with
 1.7% of system deposits at end-June 2025. BJB's acquisition of stakes in other regional
 development banks to form a bank business group has also increased its
 interconnectedness with other banks and enhanced its systemic importance, in our view.


 Resilient Operating Environment: We expect Indonesia's real GDP growth to be steady at
 4.8% in 2025 and 4.7% in 2026, following 5.0% expansion in 1H25. Bank Indonesia's dovish
 monetary policy stance is likely to be positive for system credit growth, while supporting
 net interest margins, profitability and asset quality.


 Nevertheless, we see higher risk of the government pushing state-owned banks to ramp up
 lending to meet its economic growth targets. Forceful measures that result in excessive
 loan growth, especially in non-commercial policy sectors, could weaken the banking
 system's strengths of high profitability and capitalisation. This may lead to a more negative


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10/17/25, 4:40 PM                                           Fitch Affirms Indonesia's Bank BJB at 'AA-(idn)'; Outlook Stable

 assessment of the operating environment, although this is not our base assumption
 currently.


 Steady Business Profile: BJB has a moderate domestic national franchise in addition to
 sizeable market shares in its home provinces of West Java and Banten. We believe its
 business profile benefits from its association with the provincial governments of these two
 provinces as well as the central government, which allows it to generate significant business
 volumes from lower-risk salary loans and pensioner loans. This also enhances the bank's
 funding access to regional government-related entities, which supports adequate liquidity
 and growth.


 Moderate Pressure in Asset Quality: BJB's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio rose to 2.6%
 by end-June 2025 (four-year average: 1.7%), driven by rising NPLs in its corporate and
 commercial segments. However, we believe further deterioration is likely to be contained
 and credit risks in the loan portfolio are also balanced by the bank's sizeable exposure to
 salary loans, where repayments are automatically debited from payroll accounts.


 Profitability to Recover: Fitch expects BJB's net interest margin to recover in the wake of
 recent cuts to the domestic policy rate, as the bank has a large proportion of interest-rate
 sensitive funding that reprices more quickly than its loan portfolio, which is dominated by
 fixed-rate consumer loans with longer tenors. This, along with healthy loan growth and
 manageable pressure on credit costs, should support a recovery in profitability.


 Adequate Capitalisation: We expect BJB to maintain an adequate capital buffer,
 notwithstanding a common equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio that is below the majority of its peers
 (1H25 BJB: 14%, peer average: 21%). We expect capitalisation to remain stable, supported
 by moderate loan growth and improved earnings accrual.

 RATING SENSITIVITIES

 Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative Rating
 Action/Downgrade

 A downgrade of BJB's National Long-Term Rating would most likely arise from a weakening
 in its overall credit profile relative to the universe of entities rated on the Indonesia national
 rating scale. This could result from a decrease in the central government's ability or
 willingness to provide extraordinary support and a simultaneous deterioration in the bank's
 standalone credit profile.




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10/17/25, 4:40 PM                                           Fitch Affirms Indonesia's Bank BJB at 'AA-(idn)'; Outlook Stable

 BJB's standalone credit profile is most vulnerable to a material deterioration in its asset
 quality and loss-absorption buffer, particularly given its already below-average
 capitalisation and loan-loss coverage. This could happen if its NPL ratio increases to, and is
 sustained at, above 4% without being mitigated by higher loan-loss allowance or increase in
 capital buffer.

 Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive Rating Action/Upgrade

 An upgrade of BJB's National Long-Term Rating would most likely arise from an increase in
 the government's propensity to support Indonesia's banking system in general or the bank
 specifically. This could stem from more explicit statements of support from the government,
 or a significant increase in the bank's systemic importance. However, we believe this to be
 unlikely in the near term.


 We may also upgrade BJB's National Long-Term Rating if we believe that its standalone
 profile has improved significantly. This could happen if we believe that its business profile
 has strengthened materially, enabling it to sustain growth and profitability through the
 cycle without compromising on risk-taking.

 REFERENCES FOR SUBSTANTIALLY MATERIAL SOURCE CITED AS KEY DRIVER OF
 RATING

 The principal sources of information used in the analysis are described in the Applicable
 Criteria.

 PUBLIC RATINGS WITH CREDIT LINKAGE TO OTHER RATINGS

 BJB's National Long-Term Rating is credit-linked to Indonesia's sovereign rating
 (BBB/Stable), based on our expectation of extraordinary support.

                                                     RATING ACTIONS



      ENTITY / DEBT                       RATING                                                            PRIOR 



      PT Bank Pembangunan                                                                                     AA-
                                              Natl LT       AA-(idn) Rating Outlook Stable
      Daerah Jawa Barat dan                                                                                   (idn) Rating
      Banten Tbk                                                                                              Outlook
                                              Affirmed
                                                                                                              Stable




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10/17/25, 4:40 PM                                           Fitch Affirms Indonesia's Bank BJB at 'AA-(idn)'; Outlook Stable

 VIEW ADDITIONAL RATING DETAILS


 FITCH RATINGS ANALYSTS

 Utami Ratnasari
 Senior Analyst
 Primary Rating Analyst
 +62 21 5061 0509
 utami.ratnasari@fitchratings.com
 PT Fitch Ratings Indonesia
 DBS Bank Tower 24th Floor, Suite 2403 Jl. Prof.Dr. Satrio Kav 3-5 Jakarta 12940


 Grace Wu
 Senior Director
 Committee Chairperson
 +852 2263 9919
 grace.wu@fitchratings.com

 MEDIA CONTACTS

 Leslie Tan
 Singapore
 +65 6796 7234
 leslie.tan@thefitchgroup.com


 Vivian Kam
 Hong Kong
 +852 2263 9612
 vivian.kam@thefitchgroup.com


 Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com

 PARTICIPATION STATUS

 The rated entity (and/or its agents) or, in the case of structured finance, one or more of the
 transaction parties participated in the rating process except that the following issuer(s), if
 any, did not participate in the rating process, or provide additional information, beyond the
 issuer’s available public disclosure.

 APPLICABLE CRITERIA


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10/17/25, 4:40 PM                                           Fitch Affirms Indonesia's Bank BJB at 'AA-(idn)'; Outlook Stable

 National Scale Rating Criteria (pub. 23 Dec 2020)
 Bank Rating Criteria (pub. 22 Mar 2025) (including rating assumption sensitivity)



 ADDITIONAL DISCLOSURES

 Solicitation Status
 Endorsement Policy


 ENDORSEMENT STATUS
 PT Bank Pembangunan Daerah Jawa Barat dan Banten Tbk                                                                  -



 DISCLAIMER & DISCLOSURES

 All Fitch Ratings (Fitch) credit ratings are subject to certain limitations and disclaimers.
 Please read these limitations and disclaimers by following this link:
 https://www.fitchratings.com/understandingcreditratings. In addition, the following
 https://www.fitchratings.com/rating-definitions-document details Fitch's rating definitions
 for each rating scale and rating categories, including definitions relating to default. ESMA
 and the FCA are required to publish historical default rates in a central repository in
 accordance with Articles 11(2) of Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 of the European
 Parliament and of the Council of 16 September 2009 and The Credit Rating Agencies
 (Amendment etc.) (EU Exit) Regulations 2019 respectively.


 Published ratings, criteria, and methodologies are available from this site at all times. Fitch's
 code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance, and other
 relevant policies and procedures are also available from the Code of Conduct section of this
 site. Directors and shareholders' relevant interests are available at
 https://www.fitchratings.com/site/regulatory. Fitch may have provided another permissible
 or ancillary service to the rated entity or its related third parties. Details of permissible or
 ancillary service(s) for which the lead analyst is based in an ESMA- or FCA-registered Fitch
 Ratings company (or branch of such a company) can be found on the entity summary page
 for this issuer on the Fitch Ratings website.


 In issuing and maintaining its ratings and in making other reports (including forecast
 information), Fitch relies on factual information it receives from issuers and underwriters
 and from other sources Fitch believes to be credible. Fitch conducts a reasonable
 investigation of the factual information relied upon by it in accordance with its ratings
 methodology, and obtains reasonable verification of that information from independent
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10/17/25, 4:40 PM                                           Fitch Affirms Indonesia's Bank BJB at 'AA-(idn)'; Outlook Stable

 sources, to the extent such sources are available for a given security or in a given
 jurisdiction. The manner of Fitch's factual investigation and the scope of the third-party
 verification it obtains will vary depending on the nature of the rated security and its issuer,
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 Fitch Ratings makes routine, commonly-accepted adjustments to reported financial data in
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 The complete span of best- and worst-case scenario credit ratings for all rating categories
 ranges from 'AAA' to 'D'. Fitch also provides information on best-case rating upgrade
 scenarios and worst-case rating downgrade scenarios (defined as the 99th percentile of
 rating transitions, measured in each direction) for international credit ratings, based on
 historical performance. A simple average across asset classes presents best-case upgrades
 of 4 notches and worst-case downgrades of 8 notches at the 99th percentile. For more
 details on sector-specific best- and worst-case scenario credit ratings, please see Best- and
 Worst-Case Measures under the Rating Performance page on Fitch’s website.


 The information in this report is provided “as is” without any representation or warranty of
 any kind, and Fitch does not represent or warrant that the report or any of its contents will
 meet any of the requirements of a recipient of the report. A Fitch rating is an opinion as to

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10/17/25, 4:40 PM                                           Fitch Affirms Indonesia's Bank BJB at 'AA-(idn)'; Outlook Stable

 the creditworthiness of a security. This opinion and reports made by Fitch are based on
 established criteria and methodologies that Fitch is continuously evaluating and updating.
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10/17/25, 4:40 PM                                           Fitch Affirms Indonesia's Bank BJB at 'AA-(idn)'; Outlook Stable

 subsidiaries are not issued on behalf of the NRSRO. However, non-NRSRO personnel may
 participate in determining credit ratings issued by or on behalf of the NRSRO.


 dv01, a Fitch Solutions company, and an affiliate of Fitch Ratings, may from time to time
 serve as loan data agent on certain structured finance transactions rated by Fitch Ratings.


 Copyright © 2025 by Fitch Ratings, Inc., Fitch Ratings Ltd. and its subsidiaries. 33 Whitehall
 Street, NY, NY 10004. Telephone: 1-800-753-4824, (212) 908-0500. Reproduction or
 retransmission in whole or in part is prohibited except by permission. All rights reserved.


 READ LESS


 SOLICITATION STATUS

 The ratings above were solicited and assigned or maintained by Fitch at the request of the
 rated entity/issuer or a related third party. Any exceptions follow below.


 Fitch's solicitation status policy can be found at www.fitchratings.com/ethics.

 ENDORSEMENT POLICY

 Fitch’s international credit ratings produced outside the EU or the UK, as the case may be,
 are endorsed for use by regulated entities within the EU or the UK, respectively, for
 regulatory purposes, pursuant to the terms of the EU CRA Regulation or the UK Credit
 Rating Agencies (Amendment etc.) (EU Exit) Regulations 2019, as the case may be. Fitch’s
 approach to endorsement in the EU and the UK can be found on Fitch’s Regulatory Affairs
 page on Fitch’s website. The endorsement status of international credit ratings is provided
 within the entity summary page for each rated entity and in the transaction detail pages for
 structured finance transactions on the Fitch website. These disclosures are updated on a
 daily basis.




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Names mentioned 11 people and organisations named in the text · linked when the evidence is strong

possible org DBS Bank p.4
possible person Dr. Satrio p.4
unresolved org PT Bank Pembangunan Daerah Jawa Barat p.1 ×2
unresolved org Banten Tbk p.1 ×2
unresolved org Bank Indonesia p.1
unresolved org Bank Indonesia's p.1
unresolved org Rating Banten Tbk p.3
unresolved org PT Fitch Ratings Indonesia DBS Bank Tower p.4
unresolved org Fitch Australia Pty Ltd p.7
unresolved org Fitch Ratings Ltd. p.8

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